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From the Thai-language press:
Thairath editorial: Worry that the
government is insolvent
- November 3, 2005
An ABAC poll surveyed peoples' opinions in 20 provinces
and 74.8% said they had less trust in the government
than three month ago because of problems of unrest
in the three southern border provinces and 66.4%
cited economic problems, high gasoline costs, and
the high cost of living.
This was a survey of 20 provinces around the country
that asked 4,256 people so the answers reflect some
peoples view. Most people think that the big
problem faced the government and all Thai people
at present is unrest in the South followed by the
high cost of gasoline, the high cost of goods and
corruption.
About the southern problem, the draft report that
the National Conciliation Commission (NCC) prepares
to send to the government is divided into eight
parts. Some parts are worrying, especially the part
that explains about the violent events including
the protesters who vanished at Takbai making Thai-Muslims
in the southern border area not trust the government.
This is a dangerous signal showing things are moving
to the circumstance of insolvability.
A symptom of this is that the government cannot
guarantee safety and give public service for people.
It seems there are more places that the government
cannot access. More dangerous is the trend of weak
insolvent communities such as the case of Tanyonlimore
village where community cannot protect its people.
In the political science philosophy of "society
contract" that PM usually cites, people consent
to make a contract with the state by
sacrificing some rights and freedom to the state.
The important duty of the state is protecting safety
of life and assets of people. If the government
cannot do that, it can termed in the circumstance
of "insolvent."
The worrying thing is the draft of NCC report shows
that areas where the government cannot access is
increasing. The insurgents' statements in the past
said they can spread the liberated area
continuously although the government has many military,
police, administrative people and volunteers including
the full of power of an urgent decree.
The more worrying thing is that there is no confidence
in who is responsible for the unrest in the south--neither
by the persons who set policy or the those who implement
it. Neither can clearly understand and access
problems in the three provinces although the PM
always declared to go to the right way
and quickly "close the game, but it seems
that it is still lost.
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From the Thai-language
press: Thairath editorial: The signal that
warns the government -
November 2, 2005
Although the Election Commission has not officially
declared the results of the by-election in four
areas, the results show that TRT won in only one
area. The opposition parties, Democrat, Chat Thai
and Mahachon won in three areas. Thaksin Shinawatra
and the leaders of TRT insisted that the result
was not about the party, but about issues of individuals
running in each area.
But most of the political observers believe this
result reflects the political view and it has important
meaning not only because Thai Rak Thai was defeated
in Satun, it also defeated and lost it own seats
in two provinces, Pichit and Uthaithani. TRT held
onto only one seat in Singburi only. At the same
time, the opposition party gained two more seats.
These are two significant seats in politics and
strategy. The campaign of cooperating opposition
parties begged people to vote to reach 125 opposition
seats. After getting 2 seats, the opposition parties
have votes enough to call a no-confidence debate
on corruption issue and be able to dismiss ministers.
The votes that they received reflects the decreasing
popularity of TRT in every area. Although Thaksin
has come back to be the PM again in the second election,
but he had little time for a political honeymoon
with the voters as he had many problem and scandals.
Among them are the accused corruption in CTX at
Suwannabhumi Airport, corruption in many projects
in buying-hiring, the unrest in the southern border
provinces that spreads and becomes more violent,
and the recurrent economic problems such as the
high cost of gasoline, goods, and the current account
trade deficit.
Those problems test the ability of the government
in solving problems. In the past, the government
could not solve problem such as unrest in the south
and quelling corruption even though they used populist
policies such as village funds, solving the poor
problem and discharging debts. So there is a question
as to whether any of the government's solutions
to problems really sustainable.
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